REPORT DIGEST / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY REVIEW OF INFORMATION SUBMITTED BY THE RETIREMENT PLAN FOR CHICAGO TRANSIT AUTHORITY EMPLOYEES 2018 ANNUAL REVIEW PERFORMED IN ACCORDANCE WITH PUBLIC ACT 95-708 Release Date: November 2018 State of Illinois, Office of the Auditor General FRANK J. MAUTINO, AUDITOR GENERAL To obtain a copy of the Report contact: Office of the Auditor General, Iles Park Plaza, 740 E. Ash Street, Springfield, IL 62703 (217) 782-6046 or TTY (888) 261-2887 This Report Digest and Full Report are also available on the worldwide web at www.auditor.illinois.gov The Illinois State Auditing Act requires the Retirement Plan for Chicago Transit Authority Employees (Retirement Plan) to submit to the Office of the Auditor General (OAG) an audit, an annual statement, and an actuarial statement by September 30 of each year. The OAG reviewed the documents submitted by the Retirement Plan and concluded that they met the requirements of the Auditing Act. The funded ratio of the Retirement Plan increased slightly from 52.49 percent in the January 1, 2017 Valuation to 52.65 percent in the January 1, 2018 Valuation. When the funded ratio declines below 60 percent, the Pension Code requires that contribution rates be increased so that the funded ratio is projected to reach 60 percent within 10 years. The contribution rates certified by the Retirement Plan Board for 2019 were unchanged from the 2018 contribution rates. The employer contribution rate (which is net of the employer debt service credit of 6% of pay) is 18.019 percent and the employee contribution rate is 12.010 percent. The OAG and our consultants, Aon, reviewed the Retirement Plan’s assumptions contained in the January 1, 2018 Actuarial Valuation and concluded that they were not unreasonable in the aggregate. However, we believe that three of the assumptions should continue to be monitored and justified on an annual basis. • Investment return assumption: The 8.25 percent investment return assumption used by the Plan remains at the upper end of investment return assumptions used by other plans. Both the Plan’s actuary and Investment Consultant conducted projections that concluded the Plan’s investments have a reasonable likelihood of achieving an investment return of 8.25 percent over a 10 to 30 year period. We recommend that the Plan continue to annually review the reasonableness of its investment return assumption. • Mortality assumption: The mortality assumptions used by the Plan were chosen before final 2014 mortality tables were issued by the Society of Actuaries. We recommend that a new mortality analysis be conducted for the Plan, on a benefits- weighted basis, in time to reflect the results in the assumptions that are adopted and used for next year’s valuation. • Active participant assumption: The active participant headcount increased from the prior year; however, the ratio of active participants to annuitants continued to decrease. Given the impact such a decline can have on future contribution levels, we recommend that the Plan continue to monitor the use of a constant headcount assumption. This report does not constitute an audit as that term is defined in generally accepted government auditing standards. ANNUAL REVIEW RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS STATUTORY REQUIREMENTS The Illinois State Auditing Act (30 ILCS 5/3-2.3(e)) requires the Retirement Plan for Chicago Transit Authority Employees (Retirement Plan) to submit to the Office of the Auditor General (OAG) an audit, an annual statement, and an actuarial statement by September 30 of each year. • On September 28, 2018, the OAG received these documents from the Retirement Plan. • The OAG reviewed these documents and concluded that they met the requirements of the Auditing Act. In addition, the Illinois Pension Code (40 ILCS 5/22-101(e)(3)) requires the Retirement Plan to determine, based on a report prepared by an enrolled actuary, the estimated funded ratio of the Retirement Plan’s total assets to its total actuarially determined liabilities. • The Plan is also required to determine the employee and employer contribution rates needed to meet funding requirements established by the Pension Code. • The Auditor General is required to review the determination and the assumptions on which it is based and determine whether they are “unreasonable in the aggregate”. (pages 3-5) REVIEW OF ACTUARIAL VALUATION The Retirement Plan submitted the Actuarial Valuation as of January 1, 2018, to the OAG on September 28, 2018. This Actuarial Valuation was presented to the Retirement Plan Board at its August 23, 2018 meeting. At that meeting, the Board of Trustees accepted the January 1, 2018 Actuarial Valuation and certified the employer and employee contribution rates for 2019. The OAG and our consultants, Aon, reviewed the Retirement Plan’s assumptions contained in the January 1, 2018 Actuarial Valuation and concluded that they were not unreasonable in the aggregate. While recognizing the Plan’s policy of completing an experience study every five years, we believe that three of the assumptions – investment return, mortality, and number of active future participants – should continue to be monitored and justified on an annual basis. As part of the upcoming experience review, we recommend that the Plan’s mortality experience be reviewed on a benefits-weighted basis, comparing actual experience with expected experience under the current assumption and also under the new available tables, in time to reflect the results in the assumptions used for next year’s valuation. In 2014, the Plan’s actuary completed an experience study for the five year period ending December 31, 2012. An experience study assesses how well assumptions used by the Plan align with the actual experience of the Plan. If past experience differs from the assumptions used, then the actuary may recommend revisions to the assumptions used in future valuations. As a result of the experience study, the Plan lowered its investment return assumption from 8.50 percent to 8.25 percent in the January 1, 2014 Actuarial Valuation. The January 1, 2018 Actuarial Valuation continues to use the 8.25 percent rate of return. Key Retirement Plan Information Plan investment return assumption: 8.25% 10-year historical rate of return: 5.8% Plan assets: $1.802 billion Plan liabilities: $3.423 billion Funded ratio: 52.65% Employee contribution rate (2019): 12.010% Employer contribution rate (2019): 18.019% Our prior reviews have concluded that the investment return assumptions used by the Plan were at the upper range of investment return assumptions for comparable plans. The 8.25 percent investment return assumption remains at the upper end of investment return assumptions used by other plans. The Plan’s December 31, 2017 Investment Report shows that the Plan’s investments have earned 5.8 percent over the past 10 years. Both the Plan’s actuary, as well as the Plan’s Investment Consultant, conducted projections that concluded the Plan’s investments have a reasonable likelihood of achieving an investment return of 8.25 percent over a 10 to 30 year period. However, we continue to recommend that the Plan annually review the reasonableness of its investment return assumption, rather than wait for the next experience study. After the 2014 experience study, the Plan adopted generational mortality tables to account for future mortality improvements. The assumptions used in the January 1, 2015 Valuation continue to be used in the January 1, 2018 Valuation. However, the assumptions were chosen before final 2014 mortality tables were issued by the Society of Actuaries. We recommend that a new mortality analysis be conducted for the Plan, on a benefits-weighted basis, in time to reflect the results in the assumptions that are adopted and used for next year’s valuation. The Retirement Plan’s active participant headcount increased from the prior year. However, the ratio of active participants to annuitants continued to decrease. A study sponsored by the National Association of State Retirement Administrators titled the Public Fund Survey Summary of Findings for FY 2016 states “When combined with an unfunded liability, however, a low or declining ratio of actives to annuitants can cause fiscal distress for a pension plan sponsor….” We recommend that the Plan continue to monitor the use of a constant headcount assumption. (pages 4-9) CONTRIBUTION RATES The Pension Code requires the Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) to contribute 12 percent of pay, less up to a 6 percent credit for debt service paid on the bonds issued for contribution to the Retirement Plan; employees are required to pay 6 percent of pay. The Pension Code further requires that contribution rates be increased if the funded ratio is projected to decline below 60 percent prior to 2040, with the CTA paying two-thirds and employees paying one-third of the required contribution. The funded ratio of the Retirement Plan increased slightly from 52.49 percent in the January 1, 2017 Valuation to 52.65 percent in the January 1, 2018 Valuation. At January 1, 2018, the Plan’s assets totaled $1.802 billion and the actuarial accrued liability was $3.423 billion, according to the Plan’s January 1, 2018 Actuarial Valuation. Since the funded ratio of the Plan was below 60 percent in the January 1, 2018 Valuation, the Pension Code requires the Plan to “… determine the increased contribution required each year as a level percentage of payroll during the years after the then current year … so the funded ratio is projected to reach at least 60% no later than 10 years after the then current year and include that determination in its report.” (40 ILCS 5/22-101(e)(3)) The contribution rates certified by the Retirement Plan Board for 2019 were unchanged from the 2018 contribution rates. In 2018, the employer contribution rate was 18.019 percent (which is net of the employer debt service credit of 6% of pay) and the employee contribution rate was 12.010 percent. The January 1, 2018 Actuarial Valuation concluded that the contribution rates applicable for Plan year 2019 would result in the Plan’s funded ratio reaching the statutorily required 60 percent level within 10 years (i.e., by 2028) and therefore, there was no need to increase the contribution rates. (pages 9-11) AGENCY REVIEW A draft of this Review was provided to the Retirement Plan for their review. The Retirement Plan commented that, with respect to the review of assumptions, the Plan has adopted a practice of having the actuary perform an experience review every five years. The next review will be performed in time to be used for the January 1, 2019 valuation. The Plan will continue to monitor these assumptions with the annual gain and loss process and make changes as needed. This report does not constitute an audit as that term is defined in generally accepted government auditing standards. This Annual Review was conducted by OAG staff with the assistance of our consultants, Aon. JOE BUTCHER Division Assistant Director This report is transmitted in accordance with Section 3-14 of the Illinois State Auditing Act. FRANK J. MAUTINO Auditor General FJM:DJB